Week 13 – Main Slate
Russell Wilson – Wilson gets a favorable matchup against the NY Giants this week. This game also has a decently high o/u of 47 points. Wilson started the season red hot and we all knew that was not going to be sustainable. He has since cooled down and not finished in the QB1 range for the last 3 weeks. I feel like this week is going to be different and he should return back to being one of the top fantasy QBs.
Deshaun Watson – Watson gets the Indianapolis Colts with the game slated for an o/u 51 points. This game is tied for the second highest o/u of the week and we know that both QBs are going to sling the ball. Watson has also been red hot as off lately finishing as the QB#1 in the last 2 weeks. Since week 4, these are his finishes: QB# 6, 1, 9, bye, 9, 16, 1 and 1. This is a QB that is consistent and has a great ceiling. On the overall season average, Colts defense seems to be an intimidating defense, but they have allowed a lot of the points lately. This includes an almost 20FP to Ryan Tanehill last week and a 23FP performance to Aaron Rodgers the week before.
Mitch Trubisky – Trubisky is a value pick and he gets a favorable matchup against the Detroit Lions this week. Lions defense has allowed the 7th most fantasy points to opposing QBs this year. Last week, the above-mentioned Deshaun Watson just torched them for more than 33FP and QB#1 finish on the week. Also, no matter how bad Trubisky plays, he always figures out a way to salvage his fantasy points, especially against the Lions. Last week, he finished with over 250 combined yards, 3 TDs, 21 FP and QB#6 finish on the week. He should have a safe floor with the right ceiling.
Dalvin Cook – It’s no surprise that Cook makes the list again this week. Cook has been consistent whenever he is healthy. He has only finished outside the RB1 range 3 times this entire season with his worst performance coming last week. It was only the second game this season that he was not able to find the end zone. He gets the Jacksonville defense this week where Minnesota is a -10 point favorite. If they get up early, look for Vikings to just hand the ball to Cook to run and eat up the clock.
Austin Ekeler – Ekeler came back last week and right away he had a great impact. While he only had 14 carries, he saw a team high 16 targets and caught 11 receptions for 85 yards. Herbert seems to trust him and likes to dump off a lot of short passes to him. He gets the Patriots defense this week who just got torched by Drake/Edmonds combo last week for almost 150 yards and 2 TDs. Ekeler should have a safe floor and the right upside if he is able to find the endzone.
James Robinson – Robinson gets an absurd amount of usage in the Jacksonville backfield. So far this season, he has accounted for over 95% of Jacksonville’s rushes and this has been the highest number ever in NFL. He gets a semi-decent matchup against the Vikings this week where Jacksonville is a heavy underdog. They could get down big in the game which could mean a lot of hurry up offense and dump off passes out of the backfield. He should be a safe RB1 this week.
David Montgomery – Montgomery had his best game last week against Green Bay. This week he gets an even better matchup against the Detroit Lions. Lions defense has allowed the most points to opposing RBs this season. Just last week, the Houston back-up Duke Johnson dropped more than 15 half PPR points on them. Look for Montgomery to at least be able to surpass that.
Allen Robinson – Robinson was banged up and is tagged as questionable but should be able to play against Detroit Lions this week. Last week he totally balled out for 13 targets, 8 receptions, 74 yards and 2 TDs. He seems to be the go-to guy for Trubisky and since Trubisky is starting again, look for him to have another great game. Trubisky-Robinson combo is also not a bad idea this week. Lions have also allowed the 9th most points to opposing WRs including a 43 FP to Brandin Cooks/Will Fuller combo last week.
Cooper Kupp/Robert Woods – Kupp and Woods are both value picks against the mediocre Arizona defense this week. This game is slated for an o/u of 48.5 points. I think trying to pick between Kupp and Woods is probably one of the hardest decisions of the week. Woods has been red hot lately getting 13.5 targets per game over the last couple games and converting them into almost 100 yards per game. On the other hand, Kupp plays most of his snaps from the slot and Cardinals have been horrendous defending the slot position this year. They could both have good games but at least one of them is poised to have a great game. Try to get lineups with both of them if you can!
Brandin Cooks – The news came out Monday that Will Fuller is going to miss the rest of 2020 season. That biggest beneficiary of this is most likely going to be Keke Coutee but that also means that Brandin Cooks is going to be their featured WR for the rest of the season. He gets the Colts defense this week in what is supposed to be a fairly high scoring game (51 points o/u). Cooks should have plenty of targets and should be able to convert them into meaningful FP
Darren Waller – Waller gets a favorable matchup against NY Jets this week as Jets have allowed the 5th most fantasy points to opposing TEs. Waller is also an elite TE and probably the primary receiver in LV offense. He averages 8.3 targets per game and that is great in the TE wasteland this year. He also leads the league in red zone targets. He should have a safe floor and if he finds the end zone, he could finish as one of the top TEs on the week.
Jordan Akins – Losing Will Fuller could mean more opportunities for all Houston receivers including Akins. He is a slightly deeper and desperation play but even with limited opportunities he has shown that he can finish in the TE1 range. There is also positive TD regression coming his way and with more targets if he can find the end zone, I am fairly confident he could finish in the TE1 range.
Dallas Goedert – Goedert has been on fire the last couple weeks. He has had 6 or more targets in each of his last 3 game since their bye week. In the last 2 weeks, he averages 76 receiving yards and 1 TD with a weekly finish of TE #4 and #1 on the week. I know Zack Ertz is activated and should be back in the lineup but that should not slow down Goedert. He should still have a safe floor with a high ceiling this week.
Seahawks/Bears (DK) and Dolphins/Packers (FD)