Josh Allen – Allen gets the LA Chargers defense and this game is slated for an o/u of 52.5 points. This is one of the highest o/u on the week. Allen is also coming off bye week and prior to that he had back to back performances of QB #4 or better when he faced Seattle and Arizona. On the other hand, LAC defense gives up the 7th most fantasy points to opposing QBs. They have given up at least 2 passing TDs in each of their last 5 games after their bye week.
Patrick Mahomes – This one is a fairly straightforward pick. Mahomes gets the Tampa Bay defense in a game that has the highest o/u of 56 points on the week. Mahomes has also been consistent and has scored at least 2TDs and 20 FP in all but one game this season. On the other hand, Tampa Bay has also allowed at least 2 TDs to opposing QBs in the last 5 consecutive weeks. Mahomes should be a safe play this week
Derek Carr – Carr is a great value pick this week as he gets the Atlanta defense with the second highest o/u of 54.5 points. Atlanta defense offers a favorable matchup as they have given up the most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Just last week they gave up over 24FP to Taysom Hill. We know Carr can throw as well as get some rushing yards. He is a safe QB1 play this week.
Dalvin Cook – Cook has absolutely been on fire this season. He has finished as the RB #1 in 3 of the last 4 games. He gets a favorable matchup against the Carolina defense who have allowed the 5th most points to opposing RBs. With his volume he should be a locked and loaded RB1 every week.
James Robinson – Robinson is one of the only RBs who has played more than 90% of a team’s snap. He has also seen over 22 rushing attempts in 3 of his last 4 games. He gets the Cleveland defense and although this is not a great matchup with that kind of volume, he should have a safe floor.
Myles Gaskin – Gaskin hasn’t played since week 8 but is expected to return back from IR. On the other hand, Salvon Ahmed is declared out for the week. He also gets a favorable matchup in New York Jets this week who have allowed the 9th most points to opposing RBs. If Miami gets up early, expect them to feed Gaskin to run and eat up the clock. If he is activated, he is a safe play.
Stefon Diggs – Diggs is the clear cut #1 WR in Buffalo and gets a favorable matchup with LAC this week. This game also has a very high o/u of 52.5 points. Diggs has also averaged over 10 targets in 3 of his last 4 games. Last week he caught all his 10 targets for 93 yards and a 1TD and he could be in line to repeat that this week.
Keenan Allen – It feels like Allen makes this list more often than not. Since Herbert has taken over, Allen has been his #1 target on long and short ball passes. Last week, Allen had 19 targets for 16 receptions, 145 yards and 1TD for a WR#2 finish on the week (half PPR). He has guaranteed volume in this offense and would be looking to one up his opposing WR Stefon Diggs in this matchup.
Justin Jefferson – Jefferson is a great value pick and is slowly becoming a reliable WR in NFL every week. He currently leads the league in catches of 15+ yards (20 receptions though week 11). He gets targeted often on the deep ball and usually only needs to covert one of them to make the week. He gets the Carolina defense and we know they have been susceptible to deep ball passes in the past allowing great weeks to speedsters like Mike Evans, Tyreek Hill, Deonte Harris and Christian Kirk.
Cole Beasley – Beasley is the third WR on this list in the Buffalo vs LAC game. He is a PPR machine and a short ball favorite of Josh Allen. Last week he had 13 targets, 11 receptions for 109 yards and 1 TD finishing the week as the WR #2 on the week. With a high o/u in this matchup, he should also have a safe floor.
Travis Kelce – Kelce by far has been the most consistent TE. He has actually finished as the TE#1 on 4 out of his 10 games so far. This included his performance from last week where he had 10 targets, 8 receptions for 127 yards and 1 TD. He gets the TB defense who have allowed a TD to opposing TE in each of their last 4 games.
Darren Waller – Just like Kelce, Waller has also been a consistent TE this year. He gets the favorable Atlanta defense who have given up the most points to opposing TEs. Waller might not put up the monster numbers like Kelce does, but their floors are pretty similar and safe. He should be in like for another solid week.
Austin Hooper (Value) – Hooper is a great value pick as he gets the favorable Jacksonville defense. Hooper’s numbers have been going up since his return back from injury while Jacksonville has given up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing TEs. They just gave up 7 targets, 4 receptions for 36 yards and 1 TD to Eric Ebron last week.
Raiders, Giants, Rams