Justin Herbert – Last week against Miami wasn’t a great game for Herbert. It was his second fewest attempts, lowest yards (187 yards as compared to his previous lowest that 264 yards), 3 TDs and 1 Int. Even with his mediocre performance by his standards, he finished with 21 FP and QB#9 finish on the week. He gets a favorable NY Jets this weekend with a o/u of 46 points. LAC is also a -9.5 point favorite in this game. NY Jets on the other hand have allowed the 4th most points to opposing QBs. In the last 2 weeks they have allowed 25FP to Cam Newton and 37 FP to Patrick Mahomes. This entire season they have only restricted one QB (Jimmy Garoppolo in Week 2) to have less than 190 passing yards. Herbert should be a locked and loaded QB this week.
Deshaun Watson – Watson has been lights out for over a month now but cooled off a little last week against Cleveland. The weather in that game was horrendous and both teams combined to score only 17 total points. Before that week, Watson had finished as the QB #9, 9, 1 and 6 in the prior four weeks. This matchup is currently slated for an o/u of 48.5 points with NE being a -2.0 point favorite. NE Defense is no joke but in the last 4 weeks they have allowed almost 250 yards to 3 QBs (Jimmy Garoppolo, Joe Flacco and Lamar Jackson). They have cooled off and look for Watson to have a bounce back game tomorrow.
PJ Walker – Walker is a value pick this week providing a sneaky upside. Carolina’s starting QB Teddy Bridgewater is questionable for this game and there is a very good likelihood that he might not play. This would mean the back-up QB (and former XFL star) PJ Walker would get the start against Detroit Lions. We don’t have an official o/u on this game yet, but Lions have allowed more than 220 yards to every single opposing QB this year. The lowest was in Week 9 against Kirk Cousins and that’s because Dalvin Cook did most of the work. Last week, Alex Smith dropped 390 passing yards on them. If Teddy is declared out, Walker is a safe play.
Dalvin Cook – Last week was only the second time Dalvin Cool finished outside RB1 range and that was against a stellar Chicago Defense. He still got 30 carries and 4 targets for a combined 112 yards but couldn’t find the end zone. It was the first game this season that he has not recorded a touchdown. He gets a more favorable Dallas defense this week. This game has an o/u of 47.5 points, but Vikings are a -7.5 point favorite. I wouldn’t be surprised if they get up early and then depended on Cook to just run and eat out the clock.
Mike Davis – CMC has been declared out for the game and that would mean Mike Davis would be filling in. Their starting QB (Teddy Bridgewater) is also most likely going to miss this week and that would mean the back-up QB Walker would get the nod. We have seen previously that whenever there is a back-up QB in the game, it usually results into more dump-offs to RB and more rushing plays in general. On the other hand, the Detroit Lions are the absolute worst defensing RBs. They have given up the most FP to opposing RBs this season. Last week, Gibson/McKissic combo dropped 35 FP with 3 rushing TDs between them. Davis should be a safe play this week.
Duke Johnson – Johnson didn’t have a great week last time around, but he is one of two RBs that pretty much played each of their team’s snap. He only had 14 rushes for 54 yards to go along but as mentioned earlier that that game was played in some horrendous weather with very little scoring. With David Johnson out for this game, look for Duke Johnson to step up this week. If Patriots get up early in this game and if Houston relies on no huddle offense, look for Duke to start getting targets out of the backfield too.
Davante Adams – Adams is usually a locked and loaded WR1 every week regardless of the opponent. Since his return back, he has yet to see less than 10 targets in a game from Aaron Rodgers. He has also scored in every game except for 1 against TB in week 6. He faces the Indianapolis defense this week and while they have given up an average of only 180 receiving yards to opposing WRs, they have also allowed 3 WRs to go over 100 yards. These 3 WRs were Allen Robinson, Tee Higgins and Marvin Hall and we can expect the same from Adams this week.
Robby Anderson – Anderson is a value play with sneaky upside. The usual tendency is to avoid WRs especially with a back-up QB, but PJ Walker has the history with Anderson and head coach Matt Rhule from their Temple days. Walker might lock onto Anderson early this week and we all know that Detroit Lions are a favorable matchup to WRs.
Terry McLaurin – Scary Terry has been a boom or bust WR this year. That said though, he has been getting consistent targets from Alex Smit lately. The last 4 weeks, his target counts are 9, 8, 11 and 12 targets per week. This week they face the favorable Cincinnati defense with an o/u of 46.5 points. Bengals have given up the 7th most fantasy points to opposing WRs with allowing a combined 58 FP to Johnson/Claypool/JuJu combo last weekend. McLaurin is pretty much the only consistent WR Washington has and we can expect him to have a good game.
Jakobi Meyers – Meyers has slowly emerged as the WR1 for NE Patriots. In the last 4 weeks, he has gotten 7, 14, 10 and 6 targets per week. We also know that there is positive regression coming his way (and may be the entire Patriots offense). He has only scored 1 TD this entire season and that was last weekend against Baltimore. This week he gets the Houston Texans with an o/u of 48.5 points. If you take away Houston’s game last weekend against Cleveland, they have given up at least 20 FP to opposing teams WR1 in the prior three weeks. This includes DJ Chark’s 24FP in week 9, Davante Adam’s 38FP in week 7 and AJ Brown’s 20FP in week 6.
Taysom Hill (FD) – This one is kind of a no brainer. If there are any leagues that allow you to still play Taysom Hill at the TE position, do it this week. Sean Payton has come out and said that Hill is going to be the starting QB (with Brees out) while Winston is going to be his back-up. They also get a favorable matchup in Atlanta with a high o/u of 49.5 points.
Mark Andrews – He has been a boom or bust TE this year. In all games this season, he has either finished in the top 4 TEs or outside TE #22 on the week. Andrews is coming off logging a season high 9 targets and 7 receptions last week against a solid NE Patriots Defense. This week he gets a more favorable matchup in Tennessee Titans. There is also positive regression coming his way as Andrews hasn’t scored a TD since week 5 against Cincinnati. He should be a safe play this week
Dallas Goedert – Goedert logged in 6 targets, 4 receptions and 33 yards last week against NY Giants. While this was a mediocre game, these numbers would have been a lot higher if he didn’t have to miss time in that game due to concussion protocol. In his absence, Richard Rogers stepped up for 4 receptions and a team high 60 yards. This week they face the Cleveland Defense who have given up the 11th most points to opposing TE position.
Pittsburg, LA Chargers, Washington