Josh Allen – Allen plays Seattle this week and the game has the highest o/u of 55 points. Allen started the season red-hot with performance ranking QB #3, 3, 3, and 6 over the first 4 weeks. He has since cooled off a little bit, but it at least gives us the confidence that he can still perform and finish as a high end QB1. On the other hand, Seattle defense has allowed the most points to opposing QBs. Coming off their bye in week 6, they have given up 38 FP to Kyler Murray and 17 points to Nick Mullens last week. Allen should have a very safe floor and should be able to move the ball and even have some short runs himself.

Justin Herbert – Herbert has been absolutely lights out over the last month or so. He has racked up a finish of QB # 4, 1, 4 and 7 over his last 4 games. Three of them were away against good defenses in Denver, New Orleans and Tampa Bay. This week he gets a more favorable matchup with Las Vegas. This game also has an o/u of 52 points (3rd highest on the week).  On the other hand, LV has allowed 3 opposing QBs to have games more than 30 FP over their last 4 games. This included Josh Allen, Pat Mahomes and Tom Brady. Herbert has a safe floor but also the right upside to be able to finish as a high end QB1 this week.

Deshaun Watson – Watson faces Jacksonville this week with the game having an o/u of 50.5 points. Houston is coming off their bye week and should be well rested this week. Watson was also putting up great numbers right before their bye week with finishes of QB #9, 1 and 6 over the last weeks. He also gets all his WRs back after rumors of them being on the trading block prior to the deadline. The Jacksonville defense has also allowed the 3rd most points to opposing QBs. They are also coming off their bye but the week before they were just torched by Justin Herbert who passed for 347 yards and 3 TDs. Herbert also added 9 rushes for 66 yards and another TD for a total of more than 38 FP. There is a very good likelihood that Watson can match those same numbers this week against a back-up Jacksonville QB.


Dalvin Cook – When he is healthy, Cook has been great. In the 6 games he has played, only twice has he finished outside RB#6 on the week. Last week, he was the RB #1 on the week finishing with 30 rush attempts, 226 combined yards and 4TDs. This week he gets the Detroit Lions with Vikings being a 4.5 point favorite. There is a very good chance that Matthew Stafford might not play in this game and that could mean Minnesota could get off to a flying start. This would also mean that they would rely on Cook to carry the ball and eat up the clock if that happens. With that volume and Cook’s talent, he is an every week locked and loaded RB1.

James Robinson – Robinson faces the Houston Texans this week. Also, Jaguars have already declared Minshew out for the game and would be starting their back-up QB. Now this may scare a lot of people but the volume that Robinson is getting is almost insane. He has been on the field more than 94% of the snaps and this leads all NFL RBs. Before their bye week, he has also had back to back great weeks finishing as the RB#2 and 11 on the week. Houston also gives up the 3rd most points to opposing RBs and Robinson should have a safe floor with the right upside this week against them.

Chase Edmonds /Kenyan Drake – Drake is most likely going to be declared out this week and that means that Chase Edmonds should be in for a much larger workload. We have seen last year and even last week that when Drake is not in lineup, Edmonds usually has a safe floor and a great upside. Edmonds is also coming off a great week against Seattle last week with over 140 combined yards and finishing as the RB#8 on the week. This line-up would have been a lot better if he had found the TD.


Keenan Allen – Allen was featured in our article last week and makes it back in here this week. He has a favorable matchup with Las Vegas and a high o/u in this game. Herbert is red-hot right now and Allen just happens to be his favorite receiver. If you take away his game against New Orleans where he only had 2 targets, he has been averaging more than 12 targets every single week. He should be a locked and loaded WR1 this week.

Tyler Lockett – Lockett is another WR that is featured in the weekly article back-to-back weeks. He faces the Buffalo defense with the highest o/u of 55 points this week. Lockett had a slight off-week last week but that was because his teammate Metcalf absolutely balled out. Locked should be able to bounce back this week against the Buffalo defense and be in the WR1 category again.

Stefon Diggs – Diggs is another WR in the same Buffalo-Seattle matchup. It’s been a surprise to a lot of people, but Diggs averages 10 targets per game. On the other hand, Seattle is the best matchup allowing the most points to opposing WRs. They just allowed more than 30 points to Aiyuk/Bourne combo last week. Before that, they gave up almost 50 FP to Hopkins/Kirk/Fitzgerald. Diggs should be a locked and loaded WR with a safe floor and very high ceiling.

Marvin Jones Jr – Jones is a value play this week and with Golladay ruled out of the game against Minnesota, he should be Detroit’s leading WR. In games that Golladay has been out, Jones has averaged at least 7 targets and 1 TD. On the other hand, Minnesota has also given up the second most FP per game to opposing WRs. Last week, they were just torched by Davante Adams for 53 yards and 3 TDs.     


Darren Waller – Waller leads all TE in targets and is also seeing a team high 27% target share (also 6th best in the entire NFL). He faces the LA Chargers this week who has also allowed the 9th most points to opposing TEs. With an o/u of 52 points this week, both QBs will need to sling the ball and Waller should have a very safe floor with a high upside if he finds the end zone.

Noah Fant – Fant gets a very favorable matchup in Atlanta this week. In spite of the emergence of Okwuegbunam, he still leads him in snap% and target share. He has seen an average of 8 targets per game in the last 4 games.  Atlanta, on the other hand, has allowed the most points to opposing TEs. Now these numbers might be skewed a little due to the monster games from Robert Tonyan (31FP in week 4) and Jimmy Graham (21 FP in week 3) but that also tells us that this could be a possibility for Fant this week.

Hunter Henry – Henry makes it on this article as the 4th player from the LAC vs LV matchup. This one is going to a high scoring game and we want as many pieces of this matchup as possible. Henry has seen more than 7 targets per game in 5 out of 7 games so far. One of those games was last week against Denver where he had 4 targets for 4 reception, 33 yards for a TE#18 finish on the week. He should be looking to bounce back from that performance and should be a safe play this week.


Steelers, Texans, Falcons

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