Week 8 – Main Slate
Derek Carr – Carr gets a favorable matchup against Cleveland this week. This game is slated for an o/u of 50 points which is one of the highest of the week. On the other hand, Cleveland has given up 8th most points to opposing QBs so far this season. They were just torched by Joe Burrow last week when he dropped almost 35 points on them. Carr has also scored at least 20 FP in each of his last 3 weeks. Carr should be in QB2 range with a high possibility of finishing up in QB1 range.
Jimmy Garoppolo – Garoppolo gets a very juicy matchup in Seattle this week. This game has an o/u of 53.5 points which is the highest of the week. Seattle has also allowed the 2nd highest points to opposing QBs this season. If you take away Kirk Cousins performance of 15 points, Seattle has allowed an average of over 30 points to opposing QBs. Kyler Murray just dropped 38 points on them last week. On the other hand, SF is also dealing with a lot of banged up RBs. Jimmy will need to sling the ball to stay in the game and should offer a safe floor.
Russell Wilson – Just like Jimmy mentioned above, his opposing QB is also in a great place. With such a high o/u, you want as many pieces of this game as possible. Wilson is the QB1 with most points scored and averages more than 30 FP per game. With weapons like Lockett/Metcalf, and the uncertainty at the RB position, he should be forced to throw and would have no issues moving the ball. “Letting Russ Cook” is actually working this year and he should have a safe floor with a great upside.
Kareem Hunt – After an off week against Pittsburg in Week 6, he bounced back pretty good against Cincinnati in week 7. He had over 100 combined yards with a touchdown and finished the week as the RB#9 (half ppr). He has now finished as an RB# 11, 12, 31 and 9 in the last 4 games and gets a favorable matchup in Raiders this week. LV has also allowed the 3rd most points to opposing RBs. There is also a chance that there could be rain in this game making it a little harder for QBs to throw the ball and lean more on the run game. He should have a safe floor with an upside of high end RB1 this week.
Derrick Henry – Henry is as safe as it gets at the RB position. He ranks #1 in attempts, yards and TDs on the season so far. He has the most points on the season so far in standard format and second highest in half ppr. He also gets a favorable matchup with Cincinnati this week that Tennessee are a 7 point favorite in that game. If they get up early, look for them to run a lot more to take that time off the clock and that would mean Henry would get plenty of opportunities.
Tevin Coleman (Value) – Coleman is a great value play this week. He is finally coming off IR and the last time he played in week 2, he had 14 attempts. Both Raheem Mostart and Jeff Wilson are on IR and SF would be going in with a committee back of Coleman, Hasty and McKinnon. Coleman potentially could lead this backfield and time after time we have seen that Shanahan’s offense usually supports multiple RBs. They are also facing Seattle who has been generous to RBs allowing the 8th most points to them.
Keenan Allen – Allen is slowly becoming a locked and loaded WR1 every single week. He ranks as the WR #6 in points, #7 in yards, #14 in TDs and #2 in total receptions over the season. The game against New Orleans in Week 5 concerned a lot of us with only 2 targets but he got right back with 13 targets after his bye week against Jacksonville in Week 7. Taking away the NO game, his season average is more than 12 targets a game and that is pretty solid for a WR. He is also facing the Denver defense who is coming off the week allowing close to 30 points to Tyreek Hill/ Mecole Hardman/ Byron Pringle combo. He should be a safe WR1 with a high end WR1 upside every week.
Tyler Lockett – As mentioned in the QB section above, you want as many pieces of Seattle vs SF with an o/u of 53.5 point as much as possible. Lockett is coming off an amazing performance last week where he was the WR#1 on the week. He had an amazing 20 targets and 15 receptions for 200 yards and 3 TDs. He has now ranked as the WR#1 on the week in 2 of his last 4 matchups. The SF defense should be a little more challenging, but he should still be a safe WR1 this week.
Denzel Mims (Value) – With Breshad Perriman already ruled out of this game and Jamison Crowder a doubtful to play Sunday, Mims is a great value pick. They are facing the Kansas City and will be forced to throw the ball to stay in the game. Mims was out the first 6 weeks but just in debut last week he saw 7 targets and 4 receptions. With not a lot of other WR options around him, he should provide a safe floor this week.
Darren Waller – It might be a surprise to a lot of you out there, but Waller leads all TEs with 9.3 targets per game. Those are excellent numbers in the TE wasteland this year. In his last 5 games, he has finished as the TE #3, 46, 7, 4 and 4 on the week. Those are pretty consistent finishes considering those were against solid defenses in NO, New England, Buffalo, KC and Tampa Bay. He also gets a favorable matchup in Cleveland this week who have allowed the 13th most fantasy points to TE position. He should be a high end TE again this week.
Jonnu Smith – It might seem like Smith has been a boom or bust TE this year but he is still ranked as TE #5 on the year in terms of points per game basis. He is always a red zone threat and averages almost a TD every game. In both his favorable matchups against Buffalo and Jacksonville, he was ranked as the TE #2 and #4 respectively and gets another favorable matchup against Cincinnati this week. Cincinnati has allowed the 3rd most points to opposing TEs this year and were torched by Harrison Bryant and David Njoku last week for a combined 3 TDs.
Harrison Bryant – We all thought with Austin Hopper being ruled out last week that David Njoku would ball out against Cincinnati. To our surprise, it was actually Harrison Bryant who played in front of David Njoku having 4 reception, 56 yards and 2 TDs. He finished as the TE #1 last week. He played 77% of the snaps as compared to Njoku’s 60%. This week Hooper has once again been ruled out giving Bryant an opportunity against another favorable matchup in Las Vegas Raiders.
Dolphins (DK) Saints (FD)